Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.013181 0.016254 0.020225 0.025889 0.034043 0.045852 0.065308
2024-10-06 0.009578 0.012909 0.017840 0.026175 0.041153 0.070207 0.143281
2024-10-13 0.007409 0.010471 0.015357 0.024494 0.043468 0.089225 0.259056
2024-10-20 0.006249 0.009162 0.014097 0.024132 0.047854 0.118935 0.547847
2024-10-27 0.005686 0.008648 0.013980 0.025840 0.058345 0.187414 2.081789
2024-11-03 0.005291 0.008318 0.014079 0.028046 0.072683 0.322170 33.732320
2024-11-10 0.004974 0.008054 0.014219 0.030441 0.091151 0.610621 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004531 0.007468 0.013538 0.030374 0.100604 0.958951 NaN
2024-11-24 0.004130 0.006905 0.012780 0.029780 0.107523 1.469951 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003674 0.006171 0.011503 0.027164 0.101186 1.603671 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003337 0.005641 0.010621 0.025546 0.099457 1.981862 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003124 0.005340 0.010224 0.025393 0.107064 3.474079 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003008 0.005252 0.010391 0.027509 0.137517 23.141522 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002816 0.004981 0.010061 0.027770 0.156539 502.020326 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002568 0.004561 0.009274 0.025943 0.152262 20258.910554 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002403 0.004306 0.008876 0.025551 0.163924 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 0.002332 0.004248 0.008994 0.027403 0.212612 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002278 0.004221 0.009192 0.029800 0.291349 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002228 0.004195 0.009391 0.032412 0.412583 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002118 0.004017 0.009104 0.032338 0.470457 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002006 0.003825 0.008742 0.031690 0.509434 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001859 0.003534 0.008041 0.028841 0.439680 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001744 0.003316 0.007548 0.027084 0.413811 NaN NaN